“We operate a minimal inventory, intermediary model where we typically take customer orders before we purchase inventory from our vendors”- ZU S-1 filing 11/13/13Much like NILE...
READ MORE >“That was a mistake….Look deep, Josh. It’s there. It’s moves away, but it’s there. You’ve got him….. Don’t move until you see it.” Ben Kingsley, Searching for Bobby...
READ MORE >Approximately two months ago we introduced ZU as a short idea. As a reminder here’s the original elements of our short thesis:Cracks have started to emerge recently, but we think revenue, gross margin, and profitability...
READ MORE >“…the long-term opportunity for Rentals, we look at competitors in the rental space kind of pure play what they call ILSs or Internet Listing Sites, Internet Listing Services and we see a couple...
READ MORE >Approximately two months ago we published a report backed by a review of more than 2,000 listings in 50+ markets on Zillow (“Z: Look at the Listings, the Zillow Ecosystem Might Not Be What You...
READ MORE >“We offer consumers a very different way to shop. Its a much better experience than they get in a store environment, I will take you through that today. But, what consumers are getting is a much...
READ MORE >Now it’s starting to make sense. Now we understand why Zillow agreed to pay $3.5B for a company which by almost every measure is 2nd or 3rd rate in the listings aggregation space. Now we are...
READ MORE >We recognize that there are rumors in the market that Zillow could be in talks to acquire Trulia. We will have more extensive comments shortly, but we wanted to provide you with some insight on what the agent community...
READ MORE >“You can observe a lot by watching”- Yogi BerraAs Zillow shares climb to levels we previously never thought possible (amazingly in the absence of any material new news) we have spent...
READ MORE >It would be easy for us to simply dismiss PCLN’s proposed acquisition of OPEN for $103/share as an irrational bid and nothing more than another chilling sign of Internet bubble 2.0, but in no way would that approach improve our...
READ MORE >Yesterday we had the opportunity to tour the floor at the National Restaurant Association’s 2014 annual conference. We wanted to pass along some key observations from our time in the exhibit hall. As you might imagine given our...
READ MORE >Was it good enough? Time and time again that was the question we were attempting to answer in our conversations with investors after Zillow reported 1Q14 results and provided initial 2Q14 guidance yesterday. The trading action after hours...
READ MORE >In what surely has become an alarming trend for bulls on the stock, OPEN MISSED consensus revenue expectations for the fourth time in five quarters. We cannot think of another situation where a growth company so consistently fell...
READ MORE >Make no mistake, TRLA is a stock that trades ENTIRELY off of operating metrics and relative valuation. For now, there are enough investors willing to value the company off price/revenue multiples so long as TRLA delivers...
READ MORE >In the context of what has transpired in the broader Internet space over the past two weeks, Zillow shareholders have to be feeling pretty good about themselves, or at the very least quite fortunate. After all, the 8-10% sell-off in Z...
READ MORE >Well, now we know why…. In early December, TRLA announced a convertible notes offering which was eventually upsized to $200 million. The notes convert at $35.93/share, or roughly 2% below where TRLA shares closed yesterday. The timing of the notes offering...
READ MORE >It all sounds so intoxicating doesn’t it? To company management (and presumably bulls on the stock) Trulia is a leading rapidly growing mobile based residential real estate search platform integrated with a cloud based CRM system. How many investor...
READ MORE >Approximately three months ago we postulated that OPEN’s EPS in FY14 could actually be flat on a YOY basis. At that time, and at every point up until the company’s earnings release yesterday...
READ MORE >As we approach year end it seems like a natural process for most investors to evaluate what they got right and what they were wrong about over the past 12-months. We are no different. While...
READ MORE >North American diners seated per restaurant is for OPEN shareholders “the one metric to rule them all” as far as stock price action is concerned. In 2012 when diners seated per restaurant in North America slowed, OPEN shares struggled...
READ MORE >It all sounds so intoxicating doesn’t it? To company management (and presumably bulls on the stock) Trulia is a leading rapidly growing mobile based residential real estate search platform...
READ MORE >“There’s something brewing here that really makes me think that the people in this room need to rethink their role. Some of you[MLS representatives] may be in denial. You don’t know that there’s a...
READ MORE >In another market environment things might be different. Marking the fifth time in the past three years, OPEN missed consensus revenue expectations for 2Q13. On top of that, the company lowered guidance for FY13 substantially. Panic? Not exactly. Had the...
READ MORE >In what can only be described as a surprise to the marketplace, OPEN announced that it had reached an agreement to acquire IACI’s Rezbook. As part of the deal Urbanspoon, a leading mobile...
READ MORE >“There’s a party going on right here, a celebration to last through the years….”Kool & the GangIn retrospect it all seems so simple doesn’t it? Let’s play a short game of check this...
READ MORE >And so it begins….Two and a half years ago we introduced OPEN as a short idea predicated on four principal tenets: At its core, OPEN provides a “solution without a problem”. OPEN’s ERB technology and...
READ MORE >It seems to happen all of the time in growth industries, particularly among small and mid-cap companies. A leader in said growth industry goes public, creates a successful track record, which engenders investor enthusiasm about the company and...
READ MORE >Yesterday we had the opportunity to tour the floor at the National Restaurant Association’s 2013 annual conference. We wanted to pass along some key observations from our time in the exhibit...
READ MORE >Almost a year to the day from when we first introduced Z as a long idea, we’re closing it out with a 72% gain. It’s been a wild ride to say the least. Was it really only 6-months ago when the stock ticked $23.00 following...
READ MORE >Seriously, who wouldn’t love this business? In 4Q12, OPEN’s growth in diners seated per restaurant collapsed, but the company had healthy net additions in restaurant clients, stability in NA cover...
READ MORE >SELL/SHORT
$4
SELL
$50
SELL/SHORT
$45
SHORT
$18
SELL/SHORT
$5
SELL/SHORT
$42
LONG
$75
LONG
$128
SELL/SHORT
$50
SELL/SHORT
$50
LONG
$5.50
SHORT
$50
SHORT
$28
LONG
$65
LONG
$37
PAIR TRADE
$10
PAIR TRADE
$30
LONG
$35
SHORT
$35
SELL/SHORT
$10
SHORT
$101
SHORT
$15
SHORT
$0
SHORT
$9
SHORT
$0
PAIR - LONG BGG/SHORT TTC
25%
PAIR - LONG BGG/SHORT TTC
25%
SHORT
$14.00
SHORT
$22
SHORT
$15
SHORT
$20
SHORT
$31
SHORT
$35
SHORT
$30
PAIR - LONG KNL/SHORT MLHR
25%
SHORT
$100
LONG
$8
LONG
$20
SHORT
$22
PAIR - LONG CSGP/SHORT LOOP
40%
LONG
$35
SHORT
$275
SHORT
$0