Heading into IPSU's 4Q10 earnings release, we thought a messy quarter would be overshadowed by commentary from management highlighting significant production gains at the company's Port Wentworth refinery. Our...
READ MORE >For several months now, we have been waiting for an update on the status of three separate qui tam actions outstanding against Kaplan Higher Education in the United States District Court Southern District of Florida. ...
READ MORE >We have argued for a long time that the broader media would take a keen interest in the transgressions that have occurred at Kaplan Higher Education given the parent company's perceived status in DC and the history of the Graham family. There have been a few critical articles...
READ MORE >Investors have not historically focused a great deal on the actions of the HLC and other accrediting agencies. On the heels of Congressional hearings, Dept. of Education scrutiny, and highly critical...
READ MORE >We want to eliminate any potential confusion immediately: As far as we know, ESI is not currently subject to an investigation from the SEC. It is not uncommon for the SEC's Division of Corporate Finance to issue comments on a...
READ MORE >Over the past several months there has been a growing bifurcation in the for-profit postsecondary education industry between those companies that have enacted significant "self regulation" measures in order to improve compliance with...
READ MORE >Approximately two and a half months ago, we published a report that argued that the tail risk associated with owning WPO shares continued to increase. Today we received further evidence that "tail risk" continues to grow for the company.Filing...
READ MORE >Admittedly, WPO's headline earnings results for 3Q10 appear to be compelling. The company reported total revenues of $1.189 billion and adjusted EPS from continuing operations of $11.40. This compares to our...
READ MORE >On Friday, November 5th, WPO will report 3Q10 earnings. WPO is at a significant crossroads. Fundamental demand for the company's primary growth vehicle over the past five years has changed abruptly at a time when secular headwinds facing WPO's...
READ MORE >In our 1Q11 earnings preview for COCO, we argued that the company's first quarter earnings could represent a seminal event. As we stated in our preview:"The decisions management makes over the next 3-6 months...
READ MORE >COCO will report 1Q11 earnings before the market opens on Tuesday, November 2nd. In our view, the company finds itself in an extraordinarily precarious position irrespective of what happens with the Dept. of Educationa's Gainful Employment...
READ MORE >Over the past few weeks, three large, publicly traded for-profit postsecondary education companies reported earnings. The general feedback from each company (APOL, CPLA, and ESI) has been fairly similar: 1) new student starts have...
READ MORE >Long time followers of our research know that we have been bearish on the earnings prospects and consequently the share price potential of ESI for quite some time. In light of our views on the stock, it shouldn't come as a huge surprise that our...
READ MORE >ESI's third quarter results and fall term enrollment intake add further credence to our argument that the higher education "moonshot" in demand has come to an end. Below we discuss some of our key observations from the...
READ MORE >ESI will release 3Q10 earnings tomorrow morning and host a conference call at 11AM. We wanted to make sure all of our subscribers had our estimates heading into the earnings release. Here are our key assumptions. THEY DO NOT INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF GAINFUL EMPLOYMENT.Fall Term Intake We...
READ MORE >For the past 6-7 months we have argued that the definition of a credit hour could become a significant regulatory issue in the higher education space, one that has generally overlooked by most investors. As a reminder, upon the passage of NegReg 2009 the Department of Education will...
READ MORE >Investing in the for-profit education sector over the past 2-3 months has been almost entirely about one's ability to tap into various DC lobbying groups, read the "tea leaves" from public statements from...
READ MORE >Volatility has always been a hallmark of the publicly traded for-profit education companies. In the ten+ years we have been following the sector, the number of trading opportunities have been seemingly...
READ MORE >Barron's columnist Andrew Bary published a follow up piece this weekend to his initial write-up on WPO in which he argued that the stock could be worth as much as $900/share. You can read the original article here. Mr. Bary's...
READ MORE >Our short thesis on COCO has never been predicated on a change in the regulatory landscape governing the for-profit postsecondary education sector. While the outcomes of NegReg 2009 and potential legislation by...
READ MORE >On July 23rd, stocks in the for-profit education sector "ripped" after the release of the Department of Education's initial proposal on "gainful employment". At that time, many investors thought...
READ MORE >In our preview of WPO's 2Q10 earnings release we asked: "As the Questions Pile Up, Will We Finally Get Some Answers?" Today's earnings release provided little in the form of clarity on the questions we asked, but it...
READ MORE >Don Graham and other senior executives of WPO laud themselves for their "Berkshire-like" approach to managing the company. In the world of WPO managment, the numbers speak for themselves. While we find this approach refreshing in some respects, we...
READ MORE >At long last the details on the Department of Education's proposal for its "gainful employment" were released. You can read an excellent summary of the proposal as well as responses from Senator Harkin, Harris Miller (CCA),...
READ MORE >ESI reported 2Q10 earnings results this morning. Overall we think the precipitous slow down in new student start growth for the summer term should start to raise significant questions about the...
READ MORE >Even though we are only 24 hours away from the first earnings report of the season from a publicly traded for-profit education provider, investor focus remains firmly on the eventual outcome of the Department of Education's "gainful employment" proposal....
READ MORE >On Thursday, July 22nd ESI will report 2Q10 earnings results and its Summer 2010 enrollment figures. This quarter's earnings season for the for-profit postsecondary education sector should be unique. We would not go as far as...
READ MORE >Over the past 48 hours a significant change has occurred in the operating landscape for proprietary higher education institutions. While most investors and sell-side analysts debate the eventual outcome of the Department of Education's "gainful employment" proposal,...
READ MORE >WPO reported 1Q10 results on 5/7. Overall, the results did little to alter our short thesis on the stock. The company beat our estimates on the topline but fell short of our EPS forecast due to lower than expected profitability at the...
READ MORE >COCO reported 3Q10 earnings results this morning. You can read the full release here. Overall, we would characterize the results as more or less inline, but they will likely be viewed as a...
READ MORE >SELL/SHORT
$4
SELL
$50
SELL/SHORT
$45
SHORT
$18
SELL/SHORT
$5
SELL/SHORT
$42
LONG
$75
LONG
$128
SELL/SHORT
$50
SELL/SHORT
$50
LONG
$5.50
SHORT
$50
SHORT
$28
LONG
$65
LONG
$37
PAIR TRADE
$10
PAIR TRADE
$30
LONG
$35
SHORT
$35
SELL/SHORT
$10
SHORT
$101
SHORT
$15
SHORT
$0
SHORT
$9
SHORT
$0
PAIR - LONG BGG/SHORT TTC
25%
PAIR - LONG BGG/SHORT TTC
25%
SHORT
$14.00
SHORT
$22
SHORT
$15
SHORT
$20
SHORT
$31
SHORT
$35
SHORT
$30
PAIR - LONG KNL/SHORT MLHR
25%
SHORT
$100
LONG
$8
LONG
$20
SHORT
$22
PAIR - LONG CSGP/SHORT LOOP
40%
LONG
$35
SHORT
$275
SHORT
$0