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PAA Research SMid Cap Portfolio Update – Closing out ZIPR Investment Idea with 77% Gain

March 12th, 2010

This report was originally published on 3/2/10.We wanted to provide you with an update on the performance of our SMid Cap portfolio, which we introduced on 9/3/09. As a reminder this is a “mock” portfolio with an initial...

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ZIPR Blows Away 4Q09 Revenue Estimates, Continued Market Share Gains Should Lead to Positive EBITDA and FCF in 2010

March 12th, 2010

This report was originally published on 1/6/10.ZipRealty Inc. announced preliminary revenue results for 4Q09.  You can read the full releasehere.  Overall, the company topped consensus revenue...

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What ZipRealty’s Results Tell Us About the State of Housing, ZIPR’s Path to Profitability

March 10th, 2010

This report was originally published 8/6/09.We are somewhat surprised that there aren’t more people following the results of ZipRealty on a regular basis.  We understand the stock trades almost on a “by appointment”...

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Housing is the Business Cycle, So Where are We Now?

March 9th, 2010

This report was originally published on 6/29/09.As we’ve mentioned in the past, we are firm believers in Edward Leamer’s thesis that “Housing is the Business Cycle“. It continues to shape the prism through which we view the economic cycle. The relative...

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ZipRealty’s Traffic Continues to Grow

March 7th, 2010

There are a number of third party providers of website traffic data. ComScore is probably the best known, but there are a few other established players including: Nielsen NetRatings, Compete. Alexa, Quantcast and others. We typically have used compete.com for the most part to...

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ZIPR Missed, but the Long Term Thesis Remains Intact

March 7th, 2010

This report was originally published on 5/6/09.ZIPR reported revenues and a loss per share of $21.7 million and ($0.37) vs. consensus of $24.1 million and ($0.19). The miss was driven by four factors: A very weak start to the quarter in January, which was offset by...

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Affordability Still Matters, VOLUMES in the Housing Market have Bottomed, In Search of a Forgotten MicroCap

March 7th, 2010

This report was originally published 5/5/09.We would like to borrow a phrase from Edward E. Leamer PhD., the esteemed Professor of Economics at UCLA: “Housing is the Business Cycle“. Professor Leamer’s...

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Current Ideas

EXPI

SELL/SHORT

$4

HUSQ.B

SELL

$50

UFPI

SELL/SHORT

$45

TREX

SHORT

$18

PRDO

SELL/SHORT

$5

STRA

SELL/SHORT

$42

CWH

LONG

$75

OSTK

LONG

$128

CM

SELL/SHORT

$50

RY

SELL/SHORT

$50

ARC

LONG

$5.50

AYI

SHORT

$50

BIG

SHORT

$28

WWE

LONG

$65

XOXO

LONG

$37

RLGY

PAIR TRADE

$10

RDFN

PAIR TRADE

$30

BCO

LONG

$35

ING.PA

SHORT

$35

TRUP

SELL/SHORT

$10

CTC

SHORT

$101

ATGE

SHORT

$15

HCG.TO

SHORT

$0

RON.TO

SHORT

$9

ESI

SHORT

$0

BGG

PAIR - LONG BGG/SHORT TTC

25%

TTC

PAIR - LONG BGG/SHORT TTC

25%

Z

SHORT

$14.00

NA.TO

SHORT

$22

ZU

SHORT

$15

TRLA

SHORT

$20

MCRS

SHORT

$31

APOL

SHORT

$35

OPEN

SHORT

$30

KNL

PAIR - LONG KNL/SHORT MLHR

25%

CSGP

SHORT

$100

GCA

LONG

$8

IPSU

LONG

$20

MLHR

SHORT

$22

LOOP

PAIR - LONG CSGP/SHORT LOOP

40%

THQI

LONG

$35

WPO

SHORT

$275

COCO

SHORT

$0

HNI

SIG

RGR